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The historical logic behind the American predicament

  In recent years, there have been many questions about “what happened to the United States” in the public opinion field. Especially after the outbreak of the new crown epidemic, the various political, economic and ideological levels of confusion in the United States have caused a lot of thinking from the outside world, even inside and outside the intellectual circles The saying that the United States is declining” is not new. Of course, it is difficult for us to simply make a definitive judgment on the current situation. After all, it is often unreasonable to put a simple label on the status quo of a superpower. But the fact that many people cannot ignore is the fact that compared to when the United States won the Cold War in the 1990s and became the leader of the “one super, many powers” world pattern, the US’s influence is indeed declining today.
  It is not difficult to explain this phenomenon in terms of international relations and economics. After all, the rise of emerging powers is bound to pose a challenge to the status of the former world hegemon, and economic globalization will also benefit more developing countries. Attraction will also be “shared”. However, only when we try to understand the current situation in the United States from the perspective of historical logic can we gain a deeper understanding of reality.
  Historically, any superpower with global hegemony can hardly escape the process from expansion to decline. The former British Empire ruled all over the world, but “the sun never sets” is just an exaggerated rhetoric, which ultimately needs to cede its hegemony to other emerging powers. This is because every country’s dominance and influence have an upper limit, and the result of brutality is often a huge consumption of national and financial resources, people’s livelihoods are affected, and even heavy debts, until it is difficult to bear the pressure of “early consumption”.
  The same is true in the United States today. In the early days of the new century, the United States vigorously launched the war on terrorism, but did not achieve the expected results. On the contrary, it dragged down the US economy. Frequent invasion wars also damaged the moral status of the United States in ideology. Although Trump has taken steps to reclaim the global strategy after he took office, such as “retreating” in various international organizations, building a border wall, reducing immigration, etc., and to a certain extent, it has also achieved results. However, the conservative approach has already achieved a consensus among the people. The American people and their public opinion are gradually tearing apart, and the traditional ideology of the foundation of the United States has also been questioned by domestic intellectuals and the public. This is directly reflected in the failure of Trump’s re-election.
  After Biden came to power, he still failed to bridge the tears in American society. Class contradictions and racial issues have never been resolved, and the situation has even worsened. Biden is not only facing an America with declining influence, but also an America with reduced consensus and torn public opinion. This kind of predicament often appears in the middle and late stages of the history of a major country. Although the United States is an immigrant country, its Anglo-Saxon culture has never changed as the core of its ideology, but now its core culture is being challenged and questioned. The logic of history It may be distorted or even rewritten.
  When we find the ideological roots of the American problem from the historical logic, we will find that the current predicament is a structural problem, and the fundamental contradiction can be resolved by not solving some specific issues. Only when we look at American issues from this level will we have a more historical perspective and forward thinking.

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